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Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hanshin Tigers (Local)
Prediction 67.94%1.47fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%67.98%67.84%70.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.381.381.4576.34%72.30%72.46%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV +3.89%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.72%32.02%32.16%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.942.903.2437.74%34.06%34.48%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 67.94%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 32.06%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV +3.89%E +1.20%K +1.73%G +0.067% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 07:38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV +0.679%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 08:35 |
| William Hill | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.604%E -0.195%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 06:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.604%E -0.195%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 08:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.57%E -0.510%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 08:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -11.00%E -8.40%K -35.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.21%E -2.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.85%E -0.940%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.21%E -2.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.85%E -0.940%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 08:24 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 08:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 05:54 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 05:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 05:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 05:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -4.77%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 08:34 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 08:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.85%E -1.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 08:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 08:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 08:04 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 08:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 08:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| ReBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 08:30 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 08:32 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 08:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-12 08:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 08:30 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 08:24 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.49%E -1.03%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 08:54 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 08:52 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 08:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -10.32%E -7.82%K -32.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-12 08:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.