La scuola delle quote

Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Inizio: 2026-07-12 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hanshin Tigers (Casa)

Previsione 67.94%1.47quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.85%67.98%67.84%70.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.311.381.381.4576.34%72.30%72.46%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.06%3.12quota equa
EV +3.89%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.73%
Crescita +0.067%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.72%32.02%32.16%34.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.942.903.2437.74%34.06%34.48%30.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV +3.89%E +1.20%K +1.73%G +0.067%3.9%2026-07-12 07:38
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV +0.679%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.3%2026-07-12 08:35
William Hill1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.604%E -0.195%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 06:49
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.604%E -0.195%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 08:24
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.57%E -0.510%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 08:29
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -11.00%E -8.40%K -35.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 08:49
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.21%E -2.99%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.85%E -0.940%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 08:54
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.21%E -2.99%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.85%E -0.940%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 08:54
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 08:24
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 08:24
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 05:54
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 05:54
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 05:54
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 05:50
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -4.77%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 08:34
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 08:54
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.85%E -1.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 08:54
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:05
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:05
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:04
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:05
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:04
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 21:44
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 08:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 08:32
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 08:29
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 08:34
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 08:30
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 08:24
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.49%E -1.03%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 08:54
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 08:52
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 08:24
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -10.32%E -7.82%K -32.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-12 08:33
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.