默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间: 2026-07-12 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 67.94%1.47公平赔率
EV -1.49%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -3.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.85%67.98%67.84%70.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.311.381.381.4576.34%72.30%72.46%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 32.06%3.12公平赔率
EV +3.89%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +1.73%
增长率 +0.067%

假设最高赔率为 3.24

博彩公司预测分布
29.72%32.02%32.16%34.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.942.903.2437.74%34.06%34.48%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hanshin Tigers (主队):67.94%;Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队):32.06%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.12。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.24,对应+3.89%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV +3.89%E +1.20%K +1.73%G +0.067%3.9%2026-07-12 07:38
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV +0.679%E +0.216%K +0.317%G +0.002%3.3%2026-07-12 08:35
William Hill🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.604%E -0.195%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 06:49
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.604%E -0.195%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 08:24
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.57%E -0.510%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 08:29
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -11.00%E -8.40%K -35.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.21%E -2.99%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.85%E -0.940%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.21%E -2.99%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.85%E -0.940%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 08:54
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 08:24
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 08:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 05:54
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 05:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 05:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 05:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -4.77%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 08:34
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.85%E -1.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:04
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:05
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:04
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 21:44
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 08:30
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 08:32
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 08:29
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 08:34
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 08:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 08:24
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.49%E -1.03%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 08:54
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 08:52
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -8.29%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 08:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -10.32%E -7.82%K -32.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-12 08:33
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。