The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 09:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 59.00%1.69fair odd
EV -0.285%
Edge -0.169%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%58.70%59.17%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.621.6965.79%62.11%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 41.00%2.44fair odd
EV +0.033%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.023%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%41.30%40.83%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.292.4448.78%43.96%43.76%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 59.00%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 41.00%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.439. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.440, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.033%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.023%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 08:54
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 08:50
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:54
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.32%E -6.79%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 08:54
William Hill🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 08:54
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 08:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 08:50
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 08:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.94%E -3.06%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:53
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.65%E -1.60%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:05
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:04
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 08:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:39
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.285%E -0.169%K -0.413%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.86%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.14%E -5.93%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.86%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-04 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.36%EV -10.32%E -6.79%K -19.84%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.64%EV -12.68%E -5.95%K -11.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-04 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -0.285%E -0.169%K -0.413%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -13.91%E -6.62%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 00:49
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -1.47%E -0.877%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -15.96%E -7.78%K -15.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 00:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.