Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

2026-08-04 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 56.28%1.78fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -5.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.24%56.32%56.27%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.691.7162.11%59.63%59.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 43.72%2.29fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%43.68%43.73%44.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.57%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 56.28%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 43.72%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.25, with an expected value of -1.63%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.63%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 17:49
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 13:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 13:24
William Hill1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 13:44
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.75%E -3.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 17:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.13%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 13:24
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:35
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:40
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.63%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 14:49
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.63%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 14:49
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 13:24
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 13:30
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.89%E -2.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.88%E -3.23%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:24
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.45%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:30
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 13:24
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:29
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 13:44
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 13:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 13:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 13:25
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.19%E -3.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -9.50%E -4.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 19:27
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 19:19
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -12.56%E -6.28%K -12.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.