預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

開賽時間： 2026-08-04 09:02 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

34 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主隊)

預測 59.00%1.69公平賠率

EV -0.285%

優勢 -0.169%

Kelly -0.413%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.69

博彩公司預測分布

55.11%58.70%59.17%60.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.521.611.621.6965.79%62.11%61.73%59.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客隊)

預測 41.00%2.44公平賠率

EV +0.033%

優勢 +0.013%

Kelly +0.023%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.44

博彩公司預測分布

39.28%41.30%40.83%44.89%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.052.272.292.4448.78%43.96%43.76%40.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主隊)：59.00%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客隊)：41.00%。對於「Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.439的公平十進位賠率。當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為2.440，對應+0.033%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (34 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
Pinnacle	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.023%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-04 08:54
Fanatics	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-04 08:55
LowVig.ag	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-04 08:49
BetOnline.ag	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-04 08:50
1xBet	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-04 08:55
FanDuel	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-04 08:54
DraftKings	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 08:54
Bovada	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 08:50
Tipico (DE)	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.32%E -6.79%K -19.84%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-04 08:54
William Hill	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 08:54
BetUS	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 08:55
NordicBet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-04 08:50
Betsson	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-04 08:50
ReBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-04 08:54
Hard Rock Bet	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-04 08:54
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 08:54
theScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 08:55
MyBookie.ag	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.94%E -3.06%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:53
Coolbet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.65%E -1.60%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 08:50
BetRivers	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:04
Unibet (SE)	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:05
Unibet	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:04
PMU (FR)	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:04
Bally Bet	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:05
Betway	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-04 08:54
888sport	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:39
Mr Green (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:40
888sport (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:39
Caesars	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.285%E -0.169%K -0.413%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.86%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-03 13:30
Unibet (FR)	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.14%E -5.93%K -16.92%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.86%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-08-04 08:54
Betclic (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 58.36%EV -10.32%E -6.79%K -19.84%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 41.64%EV -12.68%E -5.95%K -11.22%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-08-04 08:54
BetMGM	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -0.285%E -0.169%K -0.413%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -13.91%E -6.62%K -12.64%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-04 00:49
Coral	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -1.47%E -0.877%K -2.19%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -15.96%E -7.78%K -15.20%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-04 00:48

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。