默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-08-04 09:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 59.00%1.69公平赔率

EV -0.285%

优势 -0.169%

Kelly -0.413%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布

55.11%58.70%59.17%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.521.611.621.6965.79%62.11%61.73%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 41.00%2.44公平赔率

EV +0.033%

优势 +0.013%

Kelly +0.023%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.44

博彩公司预测分布

39.28%41.30%40.83%44.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.052.272.292.4448.78%43.96%43.76%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：59.00%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：41.00%。对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.439。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.440，对应+0.033%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.023%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-04 08:54
Fanatics	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-04 08:55
LowVig.ag	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-04 08:49
BetOnline.ag	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.670%K -1.15%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-04 08:50
1xBet	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-04 08:55
FanDuel	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.60%E -3.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-04 08:54
DraftKings	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 08:54
Bovada	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 08:50
Tipico (DE)	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.32%E -6.79%K -19.84%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-04 08:54
William Hill	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 08:54
BetUS	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 08:55
NordicBet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-04 08:50
Betsson	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-04 08:50
ReBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-04 08:54
Hard Rock Bet	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.19%E -3.89%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-04 08:54
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 08:54
theScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 08:55
MyBookie.ag	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.94%E -3.06%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:53
Coolbet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.65%E -1.60%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 08:50
BetRivers	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:04
Unibet (SE)	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:05
Unibet	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:04
PMU (FR)	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:04
Bally Bet	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:05
Betway	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.37%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-04 08:54
888sport	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:39
Mr Green (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:40
888sport (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:39
Caesars	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.285%E -0.169%K -0.413%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.86%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-03 13:30
Unibet (FR)	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.14%E -5.93%K -16.92%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.86%E -5.51%K -10.31%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-08-04 08:54
Betclic (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 58.36%EV -10.32%E -6.79%K -19.84%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 41.64%EV -12.68%E -5.95%K -11.22%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-08-04 08:54
BetMGM	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -0.285%E -0.169%K -0.413%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -13.91%E -6.62%K -12.64%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-04 00:49
Coral	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -1.47%E -0.877%K -2.19%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -15.96%E -7.78%K -15.20%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-04 00:48

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。