Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-08-04 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 42.79%2.34fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%42.82%42.89%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.52%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 57.21%1.75fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.18%57.11%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.6963.69%60.83%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 42.79%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 57.21%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -1.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.58%E -0.685%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.89%E -2.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 17:34
William Hill2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.43%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.04%E -3.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 16:50
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 13:24
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 16:20
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 14:49
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 14:49
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.61%E -3.40%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 18:09
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.61%E -3.40%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 18:09
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.14%E -1.85%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.04%E -3.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 13:25
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.57%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.04%E -3.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 16:12
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.61%E -3.40%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 13:23
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.61%E -3.40%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 13:44
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 13:24
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 13:24
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.90%E -4.90%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.90%E -4.90%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:19
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.90%E -4.90%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:20
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.14%E -3.29%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.89%E -2.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:35
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.99%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 13:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.99%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 13:24
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.99%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 14:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.99%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.13%E -4.83%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.47%E -5.29%K -14.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 13:23
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.27%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.61%E -6.08%K -16.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 13:24
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -12.27%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.63%EV -10.19%E -6.49%K -17.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.