Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

Inizio: 2026-08-04 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Casa)

Previsione 44.74%2.24quota equa
EV +2.91%
Vantaggio +1.26%
Kelly +2.23%
Crescita +0.065%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.10%44.56%44.57%47.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.122.112.3051.28%47.24%47.39%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.26%1.81quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -0.921%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.66%55.44%55.43%58.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.701.691.7863.69%58.83%59.00%56.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chiba Lotte Marines (Casa): 44.74%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Trasferta): 55.26%. Per Chiba Lotte Marines (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.24. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.91%.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +2.91%E +1.26%K +2.23%G +0.065%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -11.03%E -6.85%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:49
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +0.668%E +0.297%K +0.535%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -13.24%E -8.44%K -23.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 00:44
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 08:49
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 08:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 08:50
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:55
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:54
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:55
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:55
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 08:49
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 13:30
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.64%E -0.921%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 08:54
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 08:50
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.70%E -2.21%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 08:55
William Hill2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.30%E -1.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 08:54
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.30%E -1.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:50
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.30%E -1.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 08:49
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:53
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:39
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 08:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 08:50
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 08:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 08:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 08:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:50
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:43
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.18%EV -10.96%E -5.51%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.38%E -5.72%K -14.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 08:49
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -11.41%E -5.76%K -11.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -1.64%E -0.921%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.38%EV -12.75%E -6.54%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.48%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-04 08:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.