默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-08-04 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

45%

55%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 44.74%2.24公平赔率

EV +2.91%

优势 +1.26%

Kelly +2.23%

增长率 +0.065%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

41.10%44.56%44.57%47.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.952.122.112.3051.28%47.24%47.39%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 55.26%1.81公平赔率

EV -1.64%

优势 -0.921%

Kelly -2.10%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布

52.66%55.44%55.43%58.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.701.691.7863.69%58.83%59.00%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：44.74%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：55.26%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.30，对应+2.91%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetMGM	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +2.91%E +1.26%K +2.23%G +0.065%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -11.03%E -6.85%K -18.09%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 00:49
Coral	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +0.668%E +0.297%K +0.535%G +0.004%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -13.24%E -8.44%K -23.24%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-04 00:44
LowVig.ag	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-04 08:49
BetOnline.ag	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-04 08:50
Coolbet	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-04 08:50
BetRivers	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:55
Unibet	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:54
Unibet (SE)	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:55
PMU (FR)	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:55
Bally Bet	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.17%E -4.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 08:55
Fanatics	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-04 08:49
Caesars	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-03 13:30
Pinnacle	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.64%E -0.921%K -2.10%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-04 08:54
FanDuel	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.25%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-04 08:50
1xBet	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.70%E -2.21%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-04 08:55
William Hill	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.30%E -1.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-04 08:54
NordicBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.30%E -1.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 08:50
Betsson	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.30%E -1.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 08:50
DraftKings	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 08:49
MyBookie.ag	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-04 08:53
Hard Rock Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-04 08:39
ReBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-04 08:40
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-04 08:50
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-04 08:40
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-04 08:49
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-04 08:50
theScore Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-04 08:50
Bovada	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-04 08:43
Tipico (DE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:49
Betway	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-04 08:50
Unibet (FR)	1.99I 50.25%NM 45.18%EV -10.96%E -5.51%K -11.08%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.38%E -5.72%K -14.65%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-08-04 08:49
BetUS	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -11.41%E -5.76%K -11.64%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -1.64%E -0.921%K -2.10%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 08:49
Betclic (FR)	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.38%EV -12.75%E -6.54%K -13.43%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.48%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-04 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。