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Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 36.29%2.76fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.950%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.19%36.21%36.26%37.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.612.622.8342.55%38.31%38.17%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 63.71%1.57fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.33%63.79%63.74%65.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.471.5270.42%67.86%68.03%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 36.29%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 63.71%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.69%E +0.950%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.69%E +0.950%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 08:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.67%E -0.615%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.03%E -0.751%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-18 06:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.03%E -0.751%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.57%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.15%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 08:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.15%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 13:12 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 08:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.75%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 07:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 07:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 07:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-18 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.