The School of Odds

Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-07-18 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 35.98%2.78fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.607%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%36.01%36.05%37.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.622.7542%38%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 64.02%1.56fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -6.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.66%63.99%63.95%66.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5171%68%68%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.06%E -0.386%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 18:43
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.42%E -0.519%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.97%E -2.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 17:49
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.42%E -0.519%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.97%E -2.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 12:39
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.42%E -0.519%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.97%E -2.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 12:40
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.86%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 12:50
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.33%E -2.20%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 17:54
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 20:09
Coolbet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.94%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 13:10
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.97%E -2.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 20:09
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.97%E -2.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 15:44
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.61%E -3.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 15:19
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.17%E -4.94%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.09%E -6.40%K -21.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 19:24
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.81%E -5.42%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.81%E -5.42%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.74%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.81%E -5.42%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.97%E -2.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 17:30
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.97%E -2.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 17:29
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.97%E -2.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:14
MyBookie.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 20:13
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 13:12
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.89%E -4.00%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 20:09
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.26%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 20:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 20:05
Betclic (FR)2.46I 40.65%NM 36.92%EV -11.50%E -4.67%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -7.81%E -5.42%K -17.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 20:14
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -13.65%E -5.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 20:14
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.65%E -5.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.09%E -6.40%K -21.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.