La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Predicción 36.29%2.76momio equitativo
EV +2.69%
Ventaja +0.950%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.19%36.21%36.26%37.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.612.622.8342.55%38.31%38.17%35.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visitante)
Predicción 63.71%1.57momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -6.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.33%63.79%63.74%65.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.471.471.5270.42%67.86%68.03%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.69%E +0.950%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.69%E +0.950%K +1.47%G +0.039% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 08:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.67%E -0.615%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.03%E -0.751%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-18 06:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.03%E -0.751%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| BetUS | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.57%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.15%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 08:30 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 00:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.15%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 13:12 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 08:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.75%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 07:49 |
| ReBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 07:35 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-18 07:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 07:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-18 08:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.