La scuola delle quote

Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Inizio: 2026-07-18 09:01 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Casa)

Previsione 36.29%2.76quota equa
EV +2.69%
Vantaggio +0.950%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescita +0.039%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.19%36.21%36.26%37.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.612.622.8342.55%38.31%38.17%35.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Trasferta)

Previsione 63.71%1.57quota equa
EV -3.15%
Vantaggio -2.08%
Kelly -6.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.33%63.79%63.74%65.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.471.471.5270.42%67.86%68.03%65.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.69%E +0.950%K +1.47%G +0.039%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 08:25
LowVig.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +2.69%E +0.950%K +1.47%G +0.039%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 08:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.67%E -0.615%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 08:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.03%E -0.751%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 06:59
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.03%E -0.751%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 00:15
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.79%E -2.51%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 08:50
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 08:55
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 08:40
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 08:40
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 08:40
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 08:40
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.34%E -4.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 08:40
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 07:45
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.57%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.15%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 08:30
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:20
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.15%E -2.08%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 08:55
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 07:45
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 07:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.95%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 08:55
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 13:12
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 08:24
MyBookie.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.75%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 07:49
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 08:05
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 07:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 07:35
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 07:35
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 07:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 07:45
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.29%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.61%E -5.25%K -16.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 08:55
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.73%K -18.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 08:45
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -9.53%E -6.71%K -22.68%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-18 08:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.