Language:English
Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 56.43%1.77fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.41%56.50%57.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7461.73%58.93%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 43.57%2.30fair odd
EV -0.655%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.511%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.00%43.59%43.50%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.182.2848.78%45.82%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 56.43%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 43.57%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.655%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.53%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 22:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.09%E -0.480%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.655%E -0.287%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 21:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 05:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 23:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 05:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 12:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 20:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 19:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
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