The School of Odds

Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-07-28 22:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 56.11%1.78fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.12%56.14%56.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.98%58.82%57.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 43.89%2.28fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%43.88%43.86%45.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.162.2348.78%46.19%46.30%44.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.81%E -1.03%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.13%E -0.954%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 18:30
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.81%E -1.03%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.57%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 18:35
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.81%E -1.03%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.81%E -1.03%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.01%E -1.36%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 18:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.93%E -1.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.93%E -1.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.93%E -1.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 19:55
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.93%E -1.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 19:55
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 18:30
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 18:35
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.32%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 18:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.05%E -2.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 19:55
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 18:10
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.88%E -1.77%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.32%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:25
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.32%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:30
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.32%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.61%E -2.71%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:30
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 20:29
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.20%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 20:04
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.20%E -2.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 20:05
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.17%E -3.06%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 17:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.73%E -3.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 18:25
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.44%E -1.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:45
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 18:29
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.29%E -3.77%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 18:25
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.42%E -4.50%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.54%E -5.24%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.10%E -5.62%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-07-27 17:45
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-27 18:35
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-07-27 19:48
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%9.9%2026-07-27 18:30