Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-07-28 23:50 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 8–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 56.43%1.77odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -2.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.12%56.41%56.50%57.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.7461.73%58.93%58.82%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 43.57%2.30odd justa
EV -0.655%
Vantagem -0.287%
Kelly -0.511%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.00%43.59%43.50%44.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.182.2848.78%45.82%45.87%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 56.43%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 43.57%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.30. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.28, com valor esperado de -0.655%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.53%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-28 22:49
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.09%E -0.480%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 21:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 21:14
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.655%E -0.287%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 20:04
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 21:15
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 19:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 21:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 21:50
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:14
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:14
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:14
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 05:05
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 23:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 23:38
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 12:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:50
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:44
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:49
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 19:55
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:19
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 05:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:54
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 19:49
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 20:04
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 12:49
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 21:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:44
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:39
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:44
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 20:20
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 21:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 23:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-28 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-28 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-28 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-28 23:45
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-28 23:25
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-28 19:45
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-28 23:35
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-07-28 23:40
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%6.4%2026-07-28 23:45