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Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Nationals (Local)
Predicción 56.43%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.41%56.50%57.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.701.7461.73%58.93%58.82%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)
Predicción 43.57%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.655%
Ventaja -0.287%
Kelly -0.511%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.00%43.59%43.50%44.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.182.2848.78%45.82%45.87%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Nationals (Local): 56.43%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 43.57%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.30. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.28, con un valor esperado de -0.655%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.53%E -0.675%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 22:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.09%E -0.480%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.655%E -0.287%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.96%E -0.872%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-28 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 21:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 05:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 23:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 05:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 12:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 20:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 23:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 19:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 23:45 |