Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 20:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 47.89%2.09fair odd
EV +0.567%
Edge +0.270%
Kelly +0.515%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.11%47.78%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.982.002.1053.76%50.56%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 52.11%1.92fair odd
EV -0.468%
Edge -0.245%
Kelly -0.514%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.89%52.22%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9157.47%54.78%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 47.89%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 52.11%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.567%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.567%E +0.270%K +0.515%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 19:55
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-08 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 19:55
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.870%E -0.420%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 15:30
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.870%E -0.420%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-08 19:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 17:08
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 20:04
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 19:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:44
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 19:05
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 03:15
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.31%E -1.13%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.79%E -1.37%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 19:56
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 19:54
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 20:05
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:04
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 20:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:04
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 01:05
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 01:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 19:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 17:39
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 12:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.989%E -0.521%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.989%E -0.521%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.33%E -5.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 20:05
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.468%E -0.245%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.468%E -0.245%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 20:05
NordicBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -10.93%E -5.87%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-04-08 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-08 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-08 20:05
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-08 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-04-08 19:50
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-04-08 17:20
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%13.0%2026-04-08 20:05