Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-04-08 20:06 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 47.89%2.09odd justa
EV +0.567%
Vantagem +0.270%
Kelly +0.515%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%48.11%47.78%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.861.982.002.1053.76%50.56%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 52.11%1.92odd justa
EV -0.468%
Vantagem -0.245%
Kelly -0.514%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%51.89%52.22%53.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.831.831.9157.47%54.78%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 47.89%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 52.11%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.09. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.567%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.567%E +0.270%K +0.515%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 19:55
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-08 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 19:55
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.870%E -0.420%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 15:30
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.870%E -0.420%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-08 19:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 17:08
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 20:04
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 19:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:44
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 19:05
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 03:15
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.31%E -1.13%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.79%E -1.37%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 19:56
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 19:54
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 20:05
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:04
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 20:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:04
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 01:05
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 01:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 19:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 17:39
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 12:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.989%E -0.521%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.989%E -0.521%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.33%E -5.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 20:05
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.468%E -0.245%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.468%E -0.245%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 20:05
NordicBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -10.93%E -5.87%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-04-08 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-08 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-08 20:05
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-08 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-04-08 19:50
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-04-08 17:20
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%13.0%2026-04-08 20:05