La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-04-08 20:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 47.89%2.09momio equitativo
EV +0.567%
Ventaja +0.270%
Kelly +0.515%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%48.11%47.78%50.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.982.002.1053.76%50.56%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 52.11%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.468%
Ventaja -0.245%
Kelly -0.514%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.47%51.89%52.22%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.831.831.9157.47%54.78%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.567%E +0.270%K +0.515%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 19:55
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-08 17:05
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.088%E +0.042%K +0.081%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 19:55
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.870%E -0.420%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 15:30
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.870%E -0.420%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-08 19:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 17:08
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 20:04
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 19:54
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:44
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 19:05
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.83%E -0.891%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 03:15
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.31%E -1.13%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 11:45
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.79%E -1.37%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 19:56
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 20:04
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 19:54
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 20:05
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.26%E -1.62%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 20:05
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 19:33
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.74%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:04
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 20:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:04
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 01:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 01:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 11:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.20%E -3.44%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 01:25
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.72%E -3.75%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 19:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.24%E -4.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 20:05
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 16:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.81%E -5.03%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 17:39
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 12:34
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.18%E -2.62%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.76%E -4.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.66%E -2.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.57%E -3.92%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.59%E -1.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.989%E -0.521%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.989%E -0.521%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -4.12%E -2.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 20:05
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.49%E -5.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 20:05
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 20:05
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -5.16%E -2.83%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.97%E -5.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.33%E -5.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 20:05
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.468%E -0.245%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.468%E -0.245%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 20:05
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:05
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.64%E -2.53%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -10.45%E -5.59%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 20:05
NordicBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -10.93%E -5.87%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-04-08 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-08 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-08 20:05
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-08 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-04-08 19:50
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-04-08 17:20
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-04-08 20:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-04-08 20:05
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%13.0%2026-04-08 20:05