Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 5–10 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 42.74%2.34fair odd
EV +0.442%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.327%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.74%42.75%43.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.35%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 57.26%1.75fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.881%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.04%57.26%57.25%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.23%60.24%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 42.74%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 57.26%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.442%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.442%E +0.188%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.840%E -0.362%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.840%E -0.362%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 20:55
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 16:04
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 18:04
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:00
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.12%E -0.927%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 20:55
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 20:50
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:45
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:10
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-17 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 22:45
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 21:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 22:10
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 20:39
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:54
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:09
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.39%E -5.24%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 20:20
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.26%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 20:30
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 21:25
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 20:20
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 20:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 20:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:40
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.39%E -5.24%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 22:33
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -6.40%E -2.92%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -2.66%E -1.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 21:20
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-04-17 22:45
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-04-17 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-17 22:45
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-04-17 22:45
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-17 22:30
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-04-17 22:45
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-04-17 22:45
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-17 22:45