مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v San Francisco Giants

البداية: 2026-04-17 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 5–10 San Francisco Giants

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.74%2.34السعر العادل
EV +0.442%
الأفضلية +0.188%
Kelly +0.327%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.33%42.74%42.75%43.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.35%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Francisco Giants (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.26%1.75السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.881%
Kelly -2.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.04%57.26%57.25%58.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.23%60.24%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.442%E +0.188%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.840%E -0.362%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.840%E -0.362%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 20:55
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 16:04
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 21:10
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 18:04
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:00
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.12%E -0.927%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 20:55
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 20:50
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:45
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:10
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-17 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 22:45
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 22:45
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 21:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 22:10
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 20:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:54
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:09
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:05
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 20:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.39%E -5.24%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 20:20
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.26%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 20:50
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 20:30
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 21:25
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 20:20
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 20:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 22:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 22:35
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 20:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 19:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.39%E -5.24%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 22:33
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -6.40%E -2.92%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -2.66%E -1.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 21:20
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 22:45
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 21:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-04-17 22:45
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-04-17 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-17 22:45
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-04-17 22:45
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-17 22:30
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-04-17 22:45
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-04-17 22:45
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-17 22:45