La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v San Francisco Giants

Inicio: 2026-04-17 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 5–10 San Francisco Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 42.74%2.34momio equitativo
EV +0.442%
Ventaja +0.188%
Kelly +0.327%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.74%42.75%43.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.35%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 57.26%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.881%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.04%57.26%57.25%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.23%60.24%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.442%E +0.188%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.840%E -0.362%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.840%E -0.362%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 20:55
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 16:04
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 21:10
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 18:04
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:00
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.67%E -4.09%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:55
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.70%E -0.737%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 20:55
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.12%E -0.927%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 20:55
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 20:50
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:45
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:10
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-17 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 22:45
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.51%E -0.881%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 22:45
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 21:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 22:10
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 20:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:54
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:09
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:05
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 19:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 20:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.10%E -3.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.39%E -5.24%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 20:20
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.26%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 20:50
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 20:30
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.69%E -2.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 21:25
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 20:20
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.11%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 20:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 22:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 22:35
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.81%E -2.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 20:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 19:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.24%E -4.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.39%E -5.24%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 22:33
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -6.40%E -2.92%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -2.66%E -1.56%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 21:20
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.82%E -3.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.09%E -1.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 22:45
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.38%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 21:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-04-17 22:45
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-04-17 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-17 22:45
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-04-17 22:45
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-17 22:30
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-04-17 22:45
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-04-17 22:45
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-17 22:45