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Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.659%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%52.98%53.25%55.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.781.9058.14%55.94%56.18%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 46.71%2.14fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.838%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.95%47.02%46.75%49.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.062.052.1853.19%48.62%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 53.29%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 46.71%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +1.83%E +0.838%K +1.55%G +0.028% | 2.1% | 2026-06-22 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.509%E -0.239%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.509%E -0.239%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.976%E -0.460%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.44%E -0.684%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-23 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.44%E -0.684%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-22 22:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-22 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.78%E -1.83%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 20:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 23:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.71%E -2.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-22 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.95%E -1.06%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.45%E -4.31%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.346%E -0.185%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 20:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV +1.25%E +0.659%K +1.39%G +0.017% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -9.38%E -4.84%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-23 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.346%E -0.185%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.79%E -5.65%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-23 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -12.19%E -6.48%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-23 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 3.0% | 2026-06-23 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78% | 9.8% | 2026-06-22 23:50 |