Szkoła Kursów

Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

Początek: 2026-06-23 00:16 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Washington Nationals 4–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 53.29%1.88kurs godziwy
EV +1.25%
Przewaga +0.659%
Kelly +1.39%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.52%52.98%53.25%55.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.721.791.781.9058.14%55.94%56.18%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Philadelphia Phillies (Goście)

Prognoza 46.71%2.14kurs godziwy
EV +1.83%
Przewaga +0.838%
Kelly +1.55%
Wzrost +0.028%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.18

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.95%47.02%46.75%49.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.882.062.052.1853.19%48.62%48.78%45.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +1.83%E +0.838%K +1.55%G +0.028%2.1%2026-06-22 23:59
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.509%E -0.239%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-23 00:00
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.509%E -0.239%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-23 00:10
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.976%E -0.460%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-22 22:59
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.44%E -0.684%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 00:09
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.44%E -0.684%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 00:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 23:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:59
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 23:00
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:59
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 23:00
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:59
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:58
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:59
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:59
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 23:00
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 23:00
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.78%E -1.83%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 20:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 19:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 16:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 20:09
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:30
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 23:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 23:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 23:58
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:50
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.71%E -2.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 23:00
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 20:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 00:09
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 00:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 15:39
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.95%E -1.06%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.45%E -4.31%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 00:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.346%E -0.185%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 20:19
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV +1.25%E +0.659%K +1.39%G +0.017%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -9.38%E -4.84%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 00:09
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.346%E -0.185%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.79%E -5.65%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -12.19%E -6.48%K -13.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-23 00:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (9)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-23 00:10
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-06-23 00:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-23 00:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-06-23 00:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%3.8%2026-06-23 00:00
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%9.8%2026-06-22 23:50