La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-06-23 00:16 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 4–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 53.29%1.88momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.659%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.52%52.98%53.25%55.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.791.781.9058.14%55.94%56.18%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 46.71%2.14momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +0.838%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.95%47.02%46.75%49.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.062.052.1853.19%48.62%48.78%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +1.83%E +0.838%K +1.55%G +0.028%2.1%2026-06-22 23:59
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.509%E -0.239%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-23 00:00
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.509%E -0.239%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-23 00:10
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.976%E -0.460%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-22 22:59
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.44%E -0.684%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 00:09
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.44%E -0.684%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 00:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 23:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:59
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 23:00
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:59
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 23:00
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:59
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.91%E -0.910%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:58
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:59
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:59
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 23:00
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 23:00
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.78%E -1.83%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 20:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 19:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 16:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 20:09
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 14:30
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 23:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 23:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 23:58
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 19:50
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.71%E -2.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 23:00
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.61%E -2.58%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 20:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 00:09
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 00:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 15:39
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.95%E -1.06%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.45%E -4.31%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 00:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.346%E -0.185%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.08%E -2.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 20:19
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV +1.25%E +0.659%K +1.39%G +0.017%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -9.38%E -4.84%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 00:09
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.346%E -0.185%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.79%E -5.65%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -12.19%E -6.48%K -13.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-23 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-23 00:10
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-06-23 00:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-23 00:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-06-23 00:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%3.8%2026-06-23 00:00
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%9.8%2026-06-22 23:50