StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-11 00:46 UTC

Endstand: Washington Nationals 3–5 New York Yankees

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals (Heim)

Prognose 41.08%2.43faire Quote
EV -0.168%
Vorteil -0.069%
Kelly -0.117%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.00%41.13%41.06%42.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.312.302.4346.51%43.20%43.48%41.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.92%1.70faire Quote
EV -2.20%
Vorteil -1.32%
Kelly -3.33%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.69%58.87%58.94%60.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.631.631.6664.10%61.48%61.35%60.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Washington Nationals (Heim): 41.08%; New York Yankees (Auswärts): 58.92%. Für Washington Nationals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.434. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.430, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.168%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -0.168%E -0.069%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:59
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.989%E -0.411%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.40%E -0.583%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 23:54
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.40%E -0.583%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.81%E -0.758%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.81%E -0.758%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 00:04
BetAnything🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.81%E -0.758%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 00:19
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.81%E -0.758%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-11 00:29
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 00:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:32
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:32
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:54
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 11:08
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:32
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:04
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.32%E -3.98%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:39
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.87%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 10:49
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -5.10%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 00:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 21:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 21:09
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:04
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 09:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 09:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 09:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:54
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 20:19
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:09
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:10
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:10
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 18:14
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 18:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 22:54
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.38%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 23:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-11 00:24
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-07-11 00:45
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-11 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-11 00:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-11 00:45
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-10 23:54
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-07-11 00:15