مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-07-11 00:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 3–5 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.08%2.43السعر العادل
EV -0.168%
الأفضلية -0.069%
Kelly -0.117%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.00%41.13%41.06%42.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.312.302.4346.51%43.20%43.48%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.92%1.70السعر العادل
EV -2.20%
الأفضلية -1.32%
Kelly -3.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.69%58.87%58.94%60.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.631.631.6664.10%61.48%61.35%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -0.168%E -0.069%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:59
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.989%E -0.411%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 00:04
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.40%E -0.583%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 23:54
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.40%E -0.583%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 00:35
LowVig.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.81%E -0.758%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 00:04
BetOnline.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.81%E -0.758%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 00:04
BetAnything2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.81%E -0.758%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 00:19
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.81%E -0.758%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-11 00:29
Everygame2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.22%E -0.934%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 00:04
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:32
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.63%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:32
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:54
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 11:08
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:32
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 00:04
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.32%E -3.98%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 00:39
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.87%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 08:45
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.28%E -1.84%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 15:55
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 10:49
DraftKings2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -5.10%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 00:35
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 07:09
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 21:09
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 21:09
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:04
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 09:35
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 09:35
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 09:34
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.55%E -2.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 09:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:54
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:55
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.91%E -4.37%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 00:39
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.50%E -4.78%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 20:19
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:09
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:10
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:10
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:10
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:10
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:54
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 18:14
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.97%E -2.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 18:14
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.73%E -3.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 22:54
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.38%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.14%E -3.20%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 21:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.09%E -5.19%K -14.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 23:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (8)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-11 00:24
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-07-11 00:45
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-11 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-11 00:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-11 00:45
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-10 23:54
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-07-11 00:15