Language:English
Washington Nationals v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV +0.519%
Edge +0.247%
Kelly +0.472%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%47.74%47.78%49.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.002.1051.55%49.41%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV +0.097%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.90%52.26%52.22%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.811.9257.47%55.26%55.25%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 47.87%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 52.13%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.519%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.68%E -3.73%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.83%E -1.40%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.83%E -1.40%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 19:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.424%E -0.222%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-06 22:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.945%E -0.498%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.47%E -0.776%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.47%E -0.776%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.64%E -3.11%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 20:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 20:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.75%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV +0.097%E +0.051%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 22:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 22:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.07%E -2.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:43 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 20:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.14%E -3.68%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03% | 2.6% | 2026-05-06 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 22:44 |