La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-05-06 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 15–2 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 47.87%2.09momio equitativo
EV +0.519%
Ventaja +0.247%
Kelly +0.472%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%47.74%47.78%49.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.022.002.1051.55%49.41%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 52.13%1.92momio equitativo
EV +0.097%
Ventaja +0.051%
Kelly +0.106%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.90%52.26%52.22%54.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.811.811.9257.47%55.26%55.25%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:49
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:15
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 22:44
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.68%E -3.73%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:10
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:10
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 22:35
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.83%E -1.40%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 22:44
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.83%E -1.40%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 19:13
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.424%E -0.222%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 22:44
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.945%E -0.498%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 21:35
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.47%E -0.776%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.47%E -0.776%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:40
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 19:10
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 19:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:05
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 22:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 19:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.64%E -3.11%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 19:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:44
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 19:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:05
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:55
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 19:35
Everygame1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.75%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV +0.097%E +0.051%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 22:24
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 22:45
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:43
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:40
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.07%E -2.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 21:25
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:43
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 22:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 20:19
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 22:44
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.14%E -3.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 22:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%0.1%2026-05-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-06 22:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-05-06 22:45
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-05-06 22:45
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-05-06 22:45
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%4.4%2026-05-06 22:44