مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Minnesota Twins

البداية: 2026-05-06 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 15–2 Minnesota Twins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.87%2.09السعر العادل
EV +0.519%
الأفضلية +0.247%
Kelly +0.472%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.31%47.74%47.78%49.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.022.002.1051.55%49.41%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Minnesota Twins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.13%1.92السعر العادل
EV +0.097%
الأفضلية +0.051%
Kelly +0.106%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.90%52.26%52.22%54.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.811.811.9257.47%55.26%55.25%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 20:49
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:49
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.519%E +0.247%K +0.472%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:55
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 19:15
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 22:44
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.68%E -3.73%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:10
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.87%E -0.914%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:10
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 22:35
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.83%E -1.40%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 22:44
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.83%E -1.40%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 19:13
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.424%E -0.222%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 22:44
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.945%E -0.498%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 21:35
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.47%E -0.776%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.47%E -0.776%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 22:40
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 19:10
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.31%E -1.64%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 22:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 19:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:05
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 22:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 19:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.64%E -3.11%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 19:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:44
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 19:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:05
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 20:55
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.20%E -4.05%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 22:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 19:35
Everygame1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.75%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV +0.097%E +0.051%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 22:24
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 22:45
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:43
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:40
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 20:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.07%E -2.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 21:25
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:43
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 22:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 22:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 20:19
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 22:44
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.14%E -3.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 22:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%0.1%2026-05-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-06 22:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-06 21:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-05-06 22:45
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-05-06 22:45
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-05-06 22:45
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%4.4%2026-05-06 22:44