Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.03
assuming max odds 1.93
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 49.05%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 50.95%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -0.423%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.913%E -0.452%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.24%E -2.82%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.88%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.88%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.37%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-03 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 16:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.82%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-03 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 15:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 15:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 15:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 09:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 15:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 15:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-02 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-03 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.29%E -3.86%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.79%E -4.30%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.42%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-03 14:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-06-03 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 0.8% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-06-03 16:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-06-03 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-06-03 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-06-03 16:59 |