L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-03 17:06 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 1–4 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 49.05%2.04cote équitable
EV -0.423%
Avantage -0.208%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.07%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.951.932.0353.48%51.38%51.81%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.95%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.866%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.93%51.05%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.881.881.9355.25%53.30%53.19%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 16:59
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 17:00
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.913%E -0.452%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 17:00
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-03 17:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 16:59
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.24%E -2.82%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 16:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 17:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 17:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 16:50
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.88%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 16:59
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.88%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.37%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 16:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-03 16:29
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 15:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 17:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:49
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 17:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.82%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:59
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:50
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 17:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:50
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:50
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:50
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 09:30
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:09
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 15:50
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 15:40
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 15:40
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 15:40
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 16:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 20:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 16:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 17:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-03 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:09
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.29%E -3.86%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.79%E -4.30%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 16:59
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.42%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-03 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-03 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-03 17:00
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%0.8%2026-06-03 17:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-03 16:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-03 16:10
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-03 17:00
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-06-03 17:00
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-06-03 16:59