La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-06-03 17:06 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 1–4 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 49.05%2.04quota equa
EV -0.423%
Vantaggio -0.208%
Kelly -0.410%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%49.07%48.95%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.951.932.0353.48%51.38%51.81%49.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.95%1.96quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -0.866%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%50.93%51.05%52.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.881.881.9355.25%53.30%53.19%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 16:59
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.423%E -0.208%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 17:00
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.913%E -0.452%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 17:00
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-03 17:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 16:59
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.24%E -2.82%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 16:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 17:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.89%E -0.947%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 17:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 16:50
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.88%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 16:59
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.88%E -1.45%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.37%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 16:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-03 16:29
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 15:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 17:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:49
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 17:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 16:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.82%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:59
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.866%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:50
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 17:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:50
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:50
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:50
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 15:40
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.33%E -2.76%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 09:30
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:09
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 15:50
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 15:40
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 15:40
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 15:40
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.26%E -3.40%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 16:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 20:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 16:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.75%E -3.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 17:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.31%E -3.30%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.77%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-03 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 16:09
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -3.71%E -1.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.29%E -3.86%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.79%E -4.30%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 16:59
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.42%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-03 14:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-03 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-03 17:00
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%0.8%2026-06-03 17:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-03 16:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-03 16:10
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-03 17:00
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-06-03 17:00
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-06-03 16:59