Language:English
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 43.75%2.29fair odd
EV +0.633%
Edge +0.275%
Kelly +0.487%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.74%43.75%44.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 56.25%1.78fair odd
EV -0.444%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.13%56.26%56.25%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7760.61%58.79%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 43.75%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 56.25%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.633%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.633%E +0.275%K +0.487%G +0.003% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.242%E -0.106%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.12%E -0.494%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.01%E -0.572%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.444%E -0.251%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 20:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.18%E -1.91%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.18%E -1.91%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |