Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-08-28 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 9–2 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 43.75%2.29odd justa
EV +0.633%
Vantagem +0.275%
Kelly +0.487%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%43.74%43.75%44.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 56.25%1.78odd justa
EV -0.444%
Vantagem -0.251%
Kelly -0.576%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.13%56.26%56.25%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.701.701.7760.61%58.79%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 43.75%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 56.25%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.29. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.633%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.633%E +0.275%K +0.487%G +0.003%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 22:34
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.242%E -0.106%K -0.189%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.12%E -0.494%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 22:30
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-28 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 22:40
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 22:45
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-28 21:50
Caesars🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-28 22:39
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-28 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 22:45
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 22:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 22:45
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-28 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 22:45
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.01%E -0.572%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-28 21:30
theScore Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-28 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.444%E -0.251%K -0.576%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 20:45
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 20:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 21:50
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 20:57
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:45
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 21:05
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 21:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 20:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.18%E -1.91%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 22:24
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.18%E -1.91%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 22:44
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 20:55
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:40
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 22:45
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 21:50
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 21:05
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 21:05
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 22:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 20:45
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 20:45
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 22:45
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 22:33
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 22:34
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 22:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-08-28 22:45
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-08-28 22:20
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-28 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-28 22:30
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-28 22:45
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-28 21:00
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-28 20:40
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.4%2026-08-28 22:45
BetOpenly◎2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%4.3%2026-08-28 22:25