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Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Washington Nationals (Хозяева)
Прогноз 43.75%2.29справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.633%
Преимущество +0.275%
Kelly +0.487%
Рост +0.003%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.31%43.74%43.75%44.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Miami Marlins (Гости)
Прогноз 56.25%1.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.444%
Преимущество -0.251%
Kelly -0.576%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.77
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.13%56.26%56.25%57.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.701.701.7760.61%58.79%58.82%56.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Washington Nationals (Хозяева): 43.75%; Miami Marlins (Гости): 56.25%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.29. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.633%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.633%E +0.275%K +0.487%G +0.003% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.242%E -0.106%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.12%E -0.494%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.55%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.99%E -0.889%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.01%E -0.572%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.30%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.444%E -0.251%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 20:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.18%E -1.91%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.18%E -1.91%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.94%E -2.93%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -3.99%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 22:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |