The School of OddsWashington Nationals v Houston Astros
Head to Head
Option 1: Washington Nationals (Local)
Odds
1.7457.47%Min
1.8454.44%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.9152.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.00%2.000Min
52.63%1.900Max
51.77%1.932Mean
51.89%1.927Median
51.79%1.931IQM
51.70%1.934Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.91 under the IQM model: 51.79%
EV -1.09%Edge -0.570%Kelly -1.20%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Houston Astros (Visit)
Odds
1.8853.19%Min
1.9750.77%Mean
1.9850.51%Median
2.0449.02%Max
Consensus probabilities
47.37%2.111Min
50.00%2.000Max
48.23%2.073Mean
48.11%2.079Median
48.21%2.074IQM
48.30%2.070Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.04 under the IQM model: 48.21%
EV -1.64%Edge -0.806%Kelly -1.58%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Washington Nationals (Local) ▼ | Houston Astros (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36% NM 51.15%EV -1.09% E -0.570% K -1.20% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 48.85%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-06 17:50 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36% NM 51.15%EV -1.09% E -0.570% K -1.20% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 48.85%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-06 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36% NM 51.15%EV -1.09% E -0.570% K -1.20% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 48.85%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-06 17:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -1.61% E -0.845% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -8.39% E -4.42% K -9.33% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91% NM 51.91%EV -2.12% E -1.12% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 48.09%EV -1.64% E -0.806% K -1.58% G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -3.16% E -1.69% K -3.63% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -5.98% E -3.07% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -3.16% E -1.69% K -3.63% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -5.98% E -3.07% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -3.16% E -1.69% K -3.63% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -5.98% E -3.07% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 18:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05% NM 51.95%EV -4.20% E -2.27% K -4.94% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 48.05%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35% NM 51.83%EV -4.71% E -2.56% K -5.61% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.17%EV -4.54% E -2.29% K -4.63% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 17:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.84I 54.35% NM 51.83%EV -4.71% E -2.56% K -5.61% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.17%EV -4.54% E -2.29% K -4.63% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.84I 54.35% NM 51.58%EV -4.71% E -2.56% K -5.61% G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02% NM 48.42%EV -5.50% E -2.81% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 17:49 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -5.23% E -2.86% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 17:50 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -5.23% E -2.86% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 20:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -5.23% E -2.86% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -4.54% E -2.29% K -4.63% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -5.23% E -2.86% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -4.54% E -2.29% K -4.63% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.82I 54.95% NM 51.85%EV -5.75% E -3.16% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02% NM 48.15%EV -5.50% E -2.81% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95% NM 51.85%EV -5.75% E -3.16% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02% NM 48.15%EV -5.50% E -2.81% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.78% E -3.77% K -8.48% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.78% E -3.77% K -8.48% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.78% E -3.77% K -8.48% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:00 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -6.78% E -3.77% K -8.48% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -3.57% E -1.79% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -6.78% E -3.77% K -8.48% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -5.98% E -3.07% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 17:54 |
| ReBet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -6.78% E -3.77% K -8.48% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -7.91% E -4.14% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82% NM 51.65%EV -8.86% E -5.03% K -11.65% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 48.35%EV -9.36% E -4.98% K -10.63% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-06 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 51.93%EV -9.89% E -5.69% K -13.37% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 48.07%EV -9.36% E -4.98% K -10.63% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-06 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Washington Nationals (Local) | Houston Astros (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08% NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-07-06 20:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08% NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 17:55 |
| Novig | 1.92I 52.08% NM 50.26% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 49.74% | 3.6% | 2026-07-06 20:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82% NM 51.65% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 48.35% | 10.0% | 2026-07-06 17:55 |