مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Houston Astros

البداية: 2026-07-07 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 3–6 Houston Astros

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.08%1.92السعر العادل
EV -2.10%
الأفضلية -1.12%
Kelly -2.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.05%52.04%52.22%53.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.64%54.64%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Houston Astros (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.92%2.09السعر العادل
EV +0.162%
الأفضلية +0.077%
Kelly +0.148%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.82%47.96%47.78%48.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.862.002.002.0953.76%50.11%50.00%47.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV +0.162%E +0.077%K +0.148%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 22:45
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:34
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 20:25
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:44
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:45
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%EV -0.797%E -0.385%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 22:35
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.28%E -0.620%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 20:25
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 21:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 22:35
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.71%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 22:44
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 22:35
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 19:44
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 17:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 05:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 22:25
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:25
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 22:24
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 16:58
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:45
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:44
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 22:39
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 03:02
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 19:40
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 22:44
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:25
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 19:49
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 20:50
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:45
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 10:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 16:55
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:29
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 22:45
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 22:45
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 22:45
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 22:44
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 19:44
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 19:44
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 22:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 22:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 19:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 22:33
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 22:44
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 22:18
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.35%E -4.74%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.86%E -5.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-07 22:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-07 22:45
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-07 00:05
Polymarket1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-07-07 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-07 22:45
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-07 22:30
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-07-07 22:44