L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 22:46 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 3–6 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 52.08%1.92cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%52.04%52.22%53.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.64%54.64%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.92%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.162%
Avantage +0.077%
Kelly +0.148%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.82%47.96%47.78%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.862.002.002.0953.76%50.11%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV +0.162%E +0.077%K +0.148%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 22:45
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:34
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 20:25
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:44
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:45
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%EV -0.797%E -0.385%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 22:35
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.28%E -0.620%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 20:25
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 21:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 22:35
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.71%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-07 22:44
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 22:35
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 19:44
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 17:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 05:45
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 22:25
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:25
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 22:24
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 16:58
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:45
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:44
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 22:39
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 03:02
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 19:40
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 22:44
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:25
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 19:49
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 20:50
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 19:45
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 10:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 16:55
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:29
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 22:45
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 22:45
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 22:45
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 22:44
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 19:44
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 19:44
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 22:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 22:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 19:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 22:33
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 22:44
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 22:18
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.35%E -4.74%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.86%E -5.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-07 22:45
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-07 00:05
Polymarket1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-07-07 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-07 22:45
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-07 22:45
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-07 22:30
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-07-07 22:44