The School of OddsWashington Nationals v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 51.03%1.96fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.14%51.05%53.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.871.871.9357%53%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 48.97%2.04fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.81%48.86%48.95%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.952.0253%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 22:44 |
| Everygame | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-06 22:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.07%E -0.532%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-06 22:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 22:09 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 22:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.07%E -0.532%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 21:44 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:39 |
| ReBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-06 19:34 |
| TAB | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-06 22:42 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 22:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Neds | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 20:19 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 22:44 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:54 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 20:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:20 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 22:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.11%E -3.32%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-06 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.32%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 08:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 11:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 19:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 20:19 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 09:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 22:18 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12% | 0.3% | 2026-07-06 22:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Novig | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.4% | 2026-07-06 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-07-06 22:45 |
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 22:44 |