L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-06 22:46 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 12–11 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 51.03%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.787%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.14%51.05%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.871.871.9356.82%53.46%53.48%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.97%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.532%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.81%48.86%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.35%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:45
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:45
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:45
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:44
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:44
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.52%E -0.787%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-06 22:45
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.07%E -0.532%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 22:40
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-06 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 22:45
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:24
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -3.05%E -1.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.07%E -0.532%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-06 21:44
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:45
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:45
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:45
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:45
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:45
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:45
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:40
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:39
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 19:34
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 22:42
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 19:40
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 22:39
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 22:45
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 22:45
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:19
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 22:44
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 22:44
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 19:35
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 15:45
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:44
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 22:45
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 22:25
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 22:25
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.01%E -2.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 15:54
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 20:24
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 22:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 22:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 22:34
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 22:40
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.11%E -3.32%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 15:45
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.32%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:34
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 08:14
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 11:24
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 19:35
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 20:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 09:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 22:45
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 22:18
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%0.3%2026-07-06 22:30
Polymarket1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-06 22:45
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-06 22:45
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-06 14:00
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-07-06 21:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-07-06 22:45
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%3.9%2026-07-06 22:44