Language:English
Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 51.70%1.93fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.61%51.66%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.9155.56%54.02%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 48.30%2.07fair odd
EV -0.026%
Edge -0.013%
Kelly -0.025%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.39%48.34%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.971.962.0754.95%50.81%51.02%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 51.70%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 48.30%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.071. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.070, with an expected value of -0.026%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -2.44%E -1.21%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.92%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -1.76%E -0.928%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.28%E -1.21%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.44%E -1.21%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.48%E -0.723%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.48%E -0.723%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 16:03 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.026%E -0.013%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.509%E -0.247%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.96%E -0.965%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.87%E -2.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -2.92%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.86%E -2.46%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |