Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-09 16:16 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 7–1 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 51.70%1.93odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.652%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.61%51.66%53.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.851.851.9155.56%54.02%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 48.30%2.07odd justa
EV -0.026%
Vantagem -0.013%
Kelly -0.025%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%48.39%48.34%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.971.962.0754.95%50.81%51.02%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 51.70%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 48.30%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.071. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.070, com valor esperado de -0.026%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -2.44%E -1.21%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 16:05
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.92%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 16:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -1.76%E -0.928%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 16:14
Caesars🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.28%E -1.21%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.44%E -1.21%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 16:14
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.48%E -0.723%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 16:05
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.48%E -0.723%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 16:04
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 16:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 16:04
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 16:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 16:03
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:14
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:04
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:05
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.026%E -0.013%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 16:05
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.509%E -0.247%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.96%E -0.965%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 16:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 16:00
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:04
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:14
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:14
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:14
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:04
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:14
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.87%E -2.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:15
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:05
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -2.92%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.86%E -2.46%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 16:04
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-09 16:05
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-09 16:05
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-09 16:05
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-09 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-09 16:10
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-09 16:15
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-08-09 16:14
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-08-09 16:15