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Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Washington Nationals (Хозяева)
Прогноз 51.70%1.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.25%
Преимущество -0.652%
Kelly -1.37%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.91
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.00%51.61%51.66%53.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.851.851.9155.56%54.02%54.05%52.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cincinnati Reds (Гости)
Прогноз 48.30%2.07справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.026%
Преимущество -0.013%
Kelly -0.025%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.07
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.75%48.39%48.34%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.821.971.962.0754.95%50.81%51.02%48.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Washington Nationals (Хозяева): 51.70%; Cincinnati Reds (Гости): 48.30%. Для исхода «Cincinnati Reds (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.071. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.070, математическое ожидание — -0.026%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -2.44%E -1.21%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.92%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.652%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -1.76%E -0.928%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.28%E -1.21%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.44%E -1.21%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.48%E -0.723%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.48%E -0.723%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 16:03 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.026%E -0.013%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.509%E -0.247%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.96%E -0.965%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.87%E -2.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.992%E -0.484%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -2.92%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.86%E -2.46%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 16:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -12.10%E -6.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 16:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |