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Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-08 22:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 43.77%2.28fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.481%
Kelly -0.862%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.49%43.66%43.73%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.2647.62%45.51%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 56.23%1.78fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.34%56.27%57.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.681.7562.11%59.25%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Nationals (Local): 43.77%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 56.23%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.26, with an expected value of -1.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.09%E -0.481%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:30
Bovada🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.09%E -0.481%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:29
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 19:20
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 20:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:25
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.65%E -4.01%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:25
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.59%E -0.910%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 21:25
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 21:25
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 22:55
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.22%E -4.37%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.22%E -4.37%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.78%E -4.74%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.78%E -4.74%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 21:15
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:24
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.46%E -2.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 22:55
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.46%E -2.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:25
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:00
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:05
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 21:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 19:19
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 19:18
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 19:18
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.46%E -5.88%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.78%E -4.74%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.78%E -4.74%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-08 01:25
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-08 00:00
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-08 00:45
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-08-08 01:35
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%3.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%9.9%2026-08-07 21:15