Language:English
Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 44.36%2.25fair odd
EV -0.198%
Edge -0.088%
Kelly -0.159%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.32%44.30%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.142.152.2549.02%46.66%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 55.64%1.80fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.31%55.68%55.70%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.02%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 44.36%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 55.64%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.254. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.250, with an expected value of -0.198%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.198%E -0.088%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.198%E -0.088%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.642%E -0.287%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.09%E -0.487%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%EV -1.53%E -0.689%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.53%E -0.689%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.42%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.42%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 05:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 22:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.19%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 19:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.07%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -5.08%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -5.08%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.41%E -3.04%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 22:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 22:43 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.74%E -3.72%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.74%E -3.72%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.07%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 22:32 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.51%E -4.66%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 19:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |