Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-08 22:46 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 43.77%2.28cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.481%
Kelly -0.862%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.49%43.66%43.73%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.2647.62%45.50%45.45%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.23%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.56%56.34%56.27%57.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.681.7562.11%59.25%59.52%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Washington Nationals (Local) : 43.77% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 56.23%. Pour Washington Nationals (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.28. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.26, pour une espérance de -1.09% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.09%E -0.481%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:30
Bovada🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.09%E -0.481%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:29
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 19:20
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 20:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:25
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.52%E -0.677%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:25
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.96%E -0.876%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 02:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.40%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.65%E -4.01%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:25
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.59%E -0.910%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 21:25
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.84%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 21:25
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 01:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.22%E -4.37%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.22%E -4.37%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.78%E -4.74%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.71%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.78%E -4.74%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 21:15
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:24
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.46%E -2.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 22:55
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.46%E -2.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:25
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.28%E -1.91%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.84%E -2.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:00
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:05
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 21:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.53%E -3.29%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 19:19
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 19:18
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.09%E -3.65%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 19:18
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.90%E -2.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.46%E -5.88%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.78%E -4.74%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.09%E -3.85%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.78%E -4.74%K -12.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-08 01:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-08 00:00
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-08 00:45
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%2.3%2026-08-08 02:20
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%3.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%9.9%2026-08-07 21:15