Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 22:46 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 8–2 Cincinnati Reds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 44.36%2.25cote équitable
EV -0.198%
Avantage -0.088%
Kelly -0.159%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.32%44.30%45.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.142.152.2549.02%46.66%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.64%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.853%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.31%55.68%55.70%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.02%57.80%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Washington Nationals (Local) : 44.36% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 55.64%. Pour Washington Nationals (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.254. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.250, pour une espérance de -0.198% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.198%E -0.088%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.198%E -0.088%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.642%E -0.287%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-08 22:35
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.09%E -0.487%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 22:30
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%EV -1.53%E -0.689%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 19:34
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.53%E -0.689%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 22:30
BetAnything🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 22:30
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.42%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.42%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 05:45
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 22:35
Bovada🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.19%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 22:30
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 22:30
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 20:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 22:15
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:35
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 22:34
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:34
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 22:35
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 22:10
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 22:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 22:44
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.07%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 20:19
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -5.08%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 20:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -5.08%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 20:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 20:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 20:19
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:29
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:29
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.41%E -3.04%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:30
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 22:14
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 22:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 22:34
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 22:44
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 22:43
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.74%E -3.72%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.74%E -3.72%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.07%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 22:32
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 20:19
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.51%E -4.66%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 20:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-08 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-08-08 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-08-08 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-08-08 22:30
BetOpenly◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-08-08 22:44
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-08 19:35
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-08 22:45
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-08-08 22:45
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-08-08 22:45
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-08-08 22:44