Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-08 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 8–2 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 44.36%2.25odd justa
EV -0.198%
Vantagem -0.088%
Kelly -0.159%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.32%44.30%45.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.142.152.2549.02%46.66%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 55.64%1.80odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.853%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.31%55.68%55.70%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.02%57.80%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 44.36%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 55.64%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.254. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.250, com valor esperado de -0.198%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.198%E -0.088%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.198%E -0.088%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.642%E -0.287%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-08 22:35
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.09%E -0.487%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 22:30
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%EV -1.53%E -0.689%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 19:34
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.53%E -0.689%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 22:30
BetAnything🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.97%E -0.893%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 22:30
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.42%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.42%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 05:45
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.30%E -1.52%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 22:35
Bovada🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.19%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 22:30
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 22:30
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 20:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 22:15
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:35
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 22:34
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:34
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 22:35
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 22:10
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 22:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 22:44
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.07%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 20:19
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -5.08%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 20:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -5.08%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.51%E -0.853%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 20:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 20:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 20:19
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:29
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:29
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.96%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.41%E -3.04%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:30
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 22:14
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 22:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.74%E -2.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 22:34
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 22:44
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 22:43
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.74%E -3.72%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.62%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.74%E -3.72%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.07%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 22:32
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.29%E -2.50%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 20:19
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.51%E -4.66%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 20:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-08 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-08-08 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-08-08 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-08-08 22:30
BetOpenly◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-08-08 22:44
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-08 19:35
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-08 22:45
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-08-08 22:45
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-08-08 22:45
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-08-08 22:44