Language:English
Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 41.61%2.40fair odd
EV +0.704%
Edge +0.291%
Kelly +0.496%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%41.68%41.44%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.002.282.302.42100.00%43.95%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 58.39%1.71fair odd
EV -0.159%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%58.32%58.56%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.631.631.71100.00%61.53%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 41.61%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 58.39%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.704%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.704%E +0.291%K +0.496%G +0.003% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 22:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.128%E -0.053%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.128%E -0.053%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 22:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 18:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.159%E -0.093%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 21:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.20%E -3.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.62%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 22:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -9.70%E -4.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.39%E -58.39%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.61%E -41.61%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-04-21 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72% | 3.7% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |