Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-04-21 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 11–4 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 41.61%2.40odd justa
EV +0.704%
Vantagem +0.291%
Kelly +0.496%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.55%41.68%41.44%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.002.282.302.42100.00%43.95%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 58.39%1.71odd justa
EV -0.159%
Vantagem -0.093%
Kelly -0.223%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%58.32%58.56%60.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.631.631.71100.00%61.53%61.35%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 41.61%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 58.39%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.40. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.42, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.704%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.704%E +0.291%K +0.496%G +0.003%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 22:44
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.128%E -0.053%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 22:44
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.128%E -0.053%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:30
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:15
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 22:44
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:05
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 22:30
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 18:54
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 18:54
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 21:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 21:05
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:35
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:55
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.159%E -0.093%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:40
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:59
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:35
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 21:20
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 21:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 22:44
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 20:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.20%E -3.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.62%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 22:38
DraftKings🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -9.70%E -4.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Betsson🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.39%E -58.39%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.61%E -41.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-04-21 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-21 22:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-21 22:05
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-21 19:15
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-04-21 22:45
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-04-21 22:45
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-04-21 22:30
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%3.7%2026-04-21 22:40