La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-04-21 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 11–4 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 41.61%2.40momio equitativo
EV +0.704%
Ventaja +0.291%
Kelly +0.496%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%41.68%41.44%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.002.282.302.42100.00%43.95%43.48%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 58.39%1.71momio equitativo
EV -0.159%
Ventaja -0.093%
Kelly -0.223%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%58.32%58.56%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.631.631.71100.00%61.53%61.35%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.704%E +0.291%K +0.496%G +0.003%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 22:44
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.128%E -0.053%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 22:44
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.128%E -0.053%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:30
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:15
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.38%E -0.581%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.00%E -3.72%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 22:35
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-21 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 19:50
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 22:44
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.21%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 22:40
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:05
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.46%E -1.49%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 22:30
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:45
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 18:54
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 18:59
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 18:54
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 22:40
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 22:40
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 21:05
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 21:05
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 21:05
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:35
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:55
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.159%E -0.093%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 18:55
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:40
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.54%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.83%E -2.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:59
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:35
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.66%E -2.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:45
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 21:20
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:40
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 21:29
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 22:44
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 20:20
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.20%E -3.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:45
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.62%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 18:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 22:38
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -9.70%E -4.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.08%E -1.85%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 22:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.39%E -58.39%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.61%E -41.61%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-04-21 22:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-21 22:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-21 22:05
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-21 19:15
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-04-21 22:45
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-04-21 22:45
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-04-21 22:30
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%3.7%2026-04-21 22:40