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Toronto Blue Jays v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 52.94%1.89fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.540%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.95%52.88%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.57%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 47.06%2.12fair odd
EV -0.224%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.200%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%47.05%47.12%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.10%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 52.94%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 47.06%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.125. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.120, with an expected value of -0.224%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-11 21:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-11 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-11 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 22:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 22:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 21:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 21:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.224%E -0.106%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-11 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.19%E -2.31%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.46%E -2.20%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 22:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 21:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-11 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.28%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 22:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88% | 0.1% | 2026-05-11 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-11 22:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-05-11 22:59 |